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in reply to: Small and midcap banks to research? #19112
Hey Lucas, you have a great list going already! I’m assuming you mean RVSB, which is a former recommendation. Out of those stocks, OPHC (Category One Bowser stock) and ASRV are my personal favorites. OPHC has a higher Bowser Rating and ASRV has a good business model. Both are worth taking a look at as bank investment opportunities with low/moderate risk and moderate/high reward.
RVSB has a good history and showed NIM expansion in the last quarter, which are both positives. However, it is less likely to benefit as much from potential rate cuts, ranking it as a mid-tier bank investment.
Although it is expensive, INBK is another one on our radar as a beneficiary to future rate cuts. It is likely to have higher NIM expansion than its peers due to lower interest expenses. If all else fails, the State Street SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE) offers exposure to the industry as a whole.
in reply to: DSWL Recommendation #18841Surprisingly enough, DSWL shares shot up 11% intraday before the newsletter went out to subscribers. Although volatility is expected for small stocks, this was highly unusual considering there was no headline to support the move. We do not have an explanation for the jump outside of speculation that the company’s strong fundamentals could be gaining more appeal among investors.
Our analysis on DSWL stands and we have adjusted our ideal buying range to $2.70-$3.00/share. Remember that most of our picks take over a year to reach price targets and we do not encourage subscribers to overpay for shares. Also, depending on your brokerage, it could be more expensive to purchase shares over the phone rather than online. Thanks for the heads up though, Bill!in reply to: Spar Group #18797We had tried getting in touch with SGRP investor relations during acquisition talks. They did not follow up with any details or answers. The lack of transparency makes it likely that the deal has fallen through due to financing or approval.
Despite the unusual filing headlines and fighting on the Board of Directors, the company definitely still has value. It also has a Bowser Rating of 9 and valuable assets. Unfortunately, investor confidence in both the deal and the stock in early May. At this point, it a coin toss as to when value will be restored. However, we believe it has bounce potential considering its history of bottoming between $0.60-$1.00 per share.in reply to: Cyanotech Corporation #18515Hey Lee, apologies for the delayed response. CYAN’s freefall is one of the more baffling price swings among small stocks as of late. The unfortunate truth is that demand has fallen for its products as consumers and commercial clients cut costs. While it is within buying range, its Bowser Rating is too low to buy shares. However, we agree that the stock is extremely cheap relative to its book value, even when taking into consideration the economic headwinds.
in reply to: GSE SYS INC COM #18422Hey Lee, GVP executed a reverse split to avoid delisting. This can be overlooked if financial performance is improving, but it is not. Reverse splits for survival are a slippery slope and we can always revisit the stock later. The current market state for small stocks is less than ideal, but we cannot make exceptions unless financials say otherwise.
I also wanted to add that it is a shame to see such a great company perform poorly. This is one of the names I was most excited for on a 5-10 yr investment horizon. But we can always revisit if financial performance improves! Cheers.
Good thinking Mitchell. Growth names raise capital a good bit and trying to maintain listing can be tough when demand lightens. Retail space will have some outflows. But the extent of those outflows are definitely in question. Personally, I think jewelry demand won’t soften as much as other products but we’ll see.
Great job on reloading some shares of CTHR Mitchell!
The only thing I’d add is that it is common for stocks at risk of delisting to be bought up until they reclaim the $1 price level. This allows them to avoid delisting and keeps investors happy short-term. There is no guarantee that this is the reason for recent accumulation, but it is within the 180-day window that the Nasdaq provides for the stock to bounce back.
Institutional/insider buying, social media buzz, and upcoming news are also possible scenarios but there are no signs of this yet.
in reply to: MACE launches new Investor Relations website #17774Seems like this adds the possibility of a merger or acquisition. Considering the stock is trading around its book value, I’m hoping that any merger/acquisition would be at a higher premium for shareholders. Either way, I think that’s a positive news for a company that is in need of a turnaround.
in reply to: MACE launches new Investor Relations website #17685I recently reentered MACE as well. I feel like the risk/reward alone justifies this sub $0.20. But obviously I am a bit biased…
in reply to: BUKS Volume #17496For what it’s worth, I really liked that DraftKings news. I think BUKS may have a brighter future than I initially anticipated.
in reply to: CHTR insider buying #17495There is definitely some unusual CTHR insider buying pressure to say the least! If you look at the NASDAQ page, it shows huge accumulation over the past 12 months but no sellers whatsoever. Good find!
in reply to: ARC went on sale today… #17418Earnings were not bad considering demand was consistent across all segments. Still seems like a great value play at a reasonable price. Thanks for posting these discounts, it’s always helpful.
in reply to: Regarding Rising Price of Stock of the Month #17300Don,
If you have not yet entered MACE, it is definitely trading at an attractive price point. While we were not pleased with the earnings selloff last quarter, the stock still has a Bowser Rating of 10 and has gotten much cheaper.
Your goal is not to nail the low with your entry point, but simply get a decent average for your long-term position. Although small cap volatility promotes active trading, you want to keep the entry point simple. Since MACE is a value stock, as long as it is trading at an attractive price relative to its valuation then you can enter/reenter. -
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